Ufc 211 Vegas Odds
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo odds, best predictions: Expert with 9 straight wins enters fight card picks Kyle Marley has nailed nine straight UFC main event winners and just locked in Eye vs. KENNEDY NZECHUKWU +211 CARLOS ULBERG -251. TREVIN JONES +200 MARIO BAUTISTA -235. Unlike a spread on an NFL game where one team is ahead by a certain number of points (ex. Saints +7), in MMA fights, the line on the game is called a moneyline. These are the +/- used on UFC broadcasts.
Colby Covington vs Tyron Woodley
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UFC Vegas 11
UFC Apex
Saturday, September 19, 2020
Colby Covington will enter the Octagon against Tyron Woodley at UFC Vegas 11 on Saturday, September 19, 2020. The odds have Covington priced at -345 while Woodley is coming in at +285.
Colby 'Chaos' Covington will be looking to add a win to his record of 15-2-0. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and comes in at 5'11'. The orthodox fighter stretches 72'. Tyron 'The Chosen One' Woodley measures in at 5'9' and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 19-5-1. The 38-year-old reaches 74'. With respect to significant strikes, Colby Covington is landing 4.17 per minute while Tyron Woodley is landing 2.38 significant strikes per min. Covington is connecting on 37% of the significant strikes he attempts while Woodley lands 49%. When it comes to defending in the cage, 'Chaos' allows 3.02 significant strikes per minute while 'The Chosen One' allows 2.65. Covington also thwarts 55% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Woodley is able to thwart 56% of the strikes thrown his way.
Related: Why the Line Moves: Expert Betting Advice and Analysis
Regarding grappling, Colby Covington is the better wrestler as he gets a takedown 4.91 times per 15 minutes. Covington is finishing his takedown attempts on 51% of his attempts and stuffing 78% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Woodley is finishing his takedown tries on 39% of his takedown attempts and is stopping 90% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Covington is not as skilled of a technician by trying 0.2 submissions per 3 rds while Woodley tries 0.4 submissions per 3 rds.
The last time he fought, Colby Covington squared up with Kamaru Usman and wound up walking away in defeat via a punch to the head in round 5. Usman landed 175 of 360 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Covington finished this fight landing 143 of 395 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Usman ended up landing 175 of 360, giving him a percentage of 48%. He finished the fight landing 116 of 279 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Covington landed 36% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 143 of 395. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 103 of 341 pointed at the head. 89% of the significant strikes connected on by Usman and 100% of them connected on by Covington were done at distance.
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In the last Octagon appearance for Tyron Woodley, he fought Gilbert Burns and was on the losing end of this fight via unanimous decision in round 5. Burns ended up landing 61% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Woodley landed 67% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Woodley connected on 43% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 28 of 64. He ended up landing 14 of 44 significant strikes directed at the head. Burns landed 83 of 138 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 41 of 82 to the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that contest, Burns connected on 156 of 211 while Woodley ended up landing 65 of 101 total strikes.
Other fights to watch out for
Another fight to keep an eye on is when Donald Cerrone squares up in the Octagon against Niko Price. Cerrone has a mark of 36-15-0. The 37-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and comes in at 6'1'. The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 73'. Price stands 6'0' and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 14-4-0. The 30-year-old has a wingspan of 76'. Regarding grappling, Donald Cerrone takes his opponents down 1.23 times per 3 rds and Niko Price is averaging a takedown 1.08 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Cerrone connects for an average of 4.33 strikes per min and landing 46% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Niko Price, who tags the opposition on 38% of the strikes he attempts and connects for an average of 4.32 per min.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Gerald Meerschaert is set to enter the Octagon against Khamzat Chimaev. Chimaev has a career record of 8-0-0. The 26-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and measures in at 6'2'. The orthodox fighter has a reach of 75'. Meerschaert measures in at 6'1' and weighs 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 31-13-0. The 32-year-old has a reach of 77'. In terms of wrestling, Khamzat Chimaev defends against 10% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is getting his opponent to the mat on 75% of the times he tries. Meerschaert is finishing his takedowns on 43% of the attempts he tries and is able to deflect 46% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Chimaev absorbs 0.11 strikes per minute and he is landing 8.88 strikes/minute. Meerschaert, on the other side, takes 3.58 strikes per minute and is landing 3.31 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take Colby Covington (-345)
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Two of the top fighters in the lightweight division meet in the octagon in Abu Dhabi Saturday, as Dustin Poirier and Conor McGregor go toe-to-toe in the main event of UFC 257. The main card will begin at 10 p.m. ET and is available in full on pay-per-view on ESPN+. Below, we look at BetMGM‘s betting odds for the full UFC 257 fight card.
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UFC 257 betting odds: Main card
All odds via BetMGM; last updated Thursday at 1:30 p.m. ET.
Dustin Poirier (+240) vs. Conor McGregor (-300)
McGregor (22-4) is a heavy betting favorite in the main event despite being the No. 4 challenger in the UFC’s lightweight division, while Poirier (26-6, 1 NC) is No. 2. A $10 bet on “The Notorious” to win would return a profit of $3.33; the same bet on “The Diamond” would net a profit of $24.
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Dan Hooker (-130) vs. Michael Chandler (+110)
“The Hangman” Hooker (20-9) is the slight favorite over “Iron” Chandler (21-5). Hooker is sixth in the lightweight division while Chandler is unranked.
Jessica Eye (+100) vs. Joanne Calderwood (-120)
“JoJo” Calderwood (14-5) has a slight edge in a women’s flyweight bout with “Evil” Eye (15-8, 1 NC). A $10 bet on the sixth-ranked Eye at even-money would return a profit of $10.
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Matt Frevola (+135) vs. Ottman Azaitar (-160)
The undefeated “Bulldozer” Azaitar (13-0) is a modest betting favorite against “The Steamrolla” Frevola (8-1-1) in another lightweight contest. Both fighters are unranked.
Marina Rodriguez (+260) vs. Amanda Ribas (-350)
Ribas (10-1) is the biggest favorite on the main card with an implied win probability of 77.78% in this women’s strawweight fight. An upset win by Rodriguez (21-1-2) would return a profit of $26 on a $10 bet, but her implied win probability is just 27.78%. It would take a $35 bet on Ribas to turn a profit of $10.
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UFC 257 betting odds: Prelims
Arman Tsarukyan (-295) vs. Nasrat Haqparast (+240)
Both Tsarukyan (15-2) and Haqparast (12-3) are unranked in the lightweight division. Tsarukyan is the betting favorite despite giving up a 3-inch height advantage to Haqparast.
Brad Tavares (-135) vs. Antonio Carlos Junior (+110)
Tavares (17-7) is the No. 14 challenger in the middleweight division and is a slight favorite against the unranked Carlos Junior (11-4, 1 NC). A $10 bet on the underdog from Brazil would return a profit of $11 with an upset win.
Juliana Pena (+110) vs. Sara McMann (-130)
A women’s bantamweight bout sees the seventh-ranked Pena (10-4) listed as the underdog against the more experienced but ninth-ranked McMann (12-5).
Khalil Rountree Jr. (-345) vs. Marcin Prachnio (+270)
The only light heavyweight bout on the card features Rountree (9-4, 1 NC) as a heavy favorite against Prachnio (13-5) with both fighters unranked. It would take a $34.50 bet on Rountree to earn a profit of $10.
Andrew Sanchez (+120) vs. Makhmud Muradov (-145)
Muradov (24-6) is the betting favorite in a middleweight bout against Sanchez (13-5). A $10 bet on Muradov would return a profit of $6.90 with a victory.
Nik Lentz (+385) vs. Movsar Evloev (-530)
In a catchweight bout in the early prelims, Evloev (13-0) is the heaviest betting favorite on the entire UFC 257 card against Lentz (30-11-2, 1 NC). Evloev has an implied win probability of 84.13% and a $10 bet would net a profit of just $1.89. An upset win by Lentz would return a profit of $38.50 on just a $10 bet but with an implied win probability of only 20.62%.
Amir Albazi (-105) vs. Zhalgas Zhumagulov (-115)
The night begins with Albazi (13-1) as a very slight underdog against Zhumagulov (13-4) in a flyweight battle. Albazi is the No. 15 challenger in the division and Zhumagulov is unranked.
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When is UFC 257?
The main card of UFC 257 is scheduled for Saturday at 10 p.m. ET. The main event should begin around midnight ET.
Prelims begin at 6:30 p.m. ET.
Where is UFC 257?
Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
How/Where can I watch UFC 257?
Catch the entire UFC 257 fight card, including Poirier-McGregor 2, on Pay-Per-View on ESPN+.
Sign up for ESPN+ now and don’t miss any of the action.
Where can I bet on UFC 257?
Get some action on UFC 257 by placing a legal sports bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
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